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Sino-Indian
Boundary Dispute
Dr. Bhashyam Kasturi
Associate Editor
Jawaharlal Nehru Memorial Fund
New Delhi
The Centre organised a round table discussion on Sino-Indian
Border Dispute on 24 December 2003. Dr. Kasturi Bhashyam,
Fellow at the Jawaharlal Nehru Memorial Museum and Library,
attended initiated the discussion. In his address, he stressed
on the importance of understanding certain aspects in analysing
the boundary question between India and China. They are:
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To understand the Chinese position, it is imperative to understand
the role that the Chinese ideology, military and intelligence
play in the boundary question.
- The understanding of the boundary question has to be based
on a better perception of the changing historical positions
of both the sides.
- The problem could not be solved by an overall political
settlement. The real hitch is in the details of the boundary
question.
- The Tibetan factor has to be taken into account.
He
further said that in order to effectively face the Chinese
in resolving the boundary question, India has to take certain
measures:
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India has to shore up its military and economic strength against
China. It should be strong enough to measure its own confidence:
the confidence in its own system to deal with China.
- Transparency, to some extent, is essential in resolving
the dispute. Secrecy has its own value, but the end game for
the Indian political establishment is to convince its own
people that some sort of compromise is necessary; and that
would eventually require some transparency.
- India has to send across the message that it is serious
about the boundary question and keen to know how serious the
Chinese are on the issue.
Mr.
M.K. Narayanan, Vice President of the Centre, in his comment
elaborated about the difficulties in understanding the Chinese
position. The Chinese never said and would never say where
they think the boundary lies. The maps are a source of confusion
as the McMohan line covers a vast area on the ground. The
role that the Chinese and Indian intelligence played in pushing
the boundary stones has only added to the confusion. This
apart, Mr. Narayanan, drawing from his own experience, said
that the Chinese are inscrutable. The decline of the Sinologists,
both in the government and outside it, has made the task of
understanding the Chinese mind that much more difficult. Despite
these problems, Mr. Narayanan, was of the opinion that this
is the best moment to resolve the dispute. The reasons, according
to him, could be seen in the Chinese ambitions of becoming
an economic super power. It is in the interest of China to
resolve the dispute and certainly not allow it to escalate
it into a war, for its economy would be set back by a decade
or two. Further, this is the moment in history, when India
and China do not look at the dispute from the point of view
of a geographical space, but as to how it would impact on
their economy. He also said that there would not be any opposition
to a settlement, for India has accepted the fact that Aksai
Chin is lost forever. Thus, according to him, the dispute
could be settled by a general agreement rather than on the
basis of specifics.
Mr.
Lawrence Prabhakar, Associate Professor, Madras Christian
College, and Founder Member of the Centre, drew attention
to the slow encirclement of India by China. In Tibet, the
Qinghay-Lhasa railway would be completed by 2007 giving a
tremendous boost to the Chinese logistical ability to reinforce
its troops in Tibet. There was also a rapid influx of Chinese
navy into the Indian Ocean. Further, China was cultivating
its two anchors - Pakistan and Myanmar. This, according to
Mr. Prabhakar, implies that India is basically in the midst
of a pincer movement where the Chinese are rapidly moving
into the maritime space in the south and into the continental
space in the north.
Brigadier
K. Srinivasan (Retd), Director of the Centre, was of the opinion
that there was no pressing need to resolve the border question
immediately. He said that there was a lack of political will
to resolve the question. Resolving the dispute would involve
certain amount of give and take. The giving part of it would
go against earlier Parliamentary resolutions and political
statements of the erstwhile leaders. Therefore, the public
in India need to be convinced of the need to give and take
and this way we would be able to settle the dispute with China.
The
discussion concentrated on the understanding of the Chinese
ideology. Dr. Bhashyam clarified that what was meant by ideology
in the discussion was not Chinese communism, but the Chinese
mind: what influences the Chinese thinking on the border question?
How they perceive the border issue? What is the importance
they attach to issue? and so on. It was generally agreed that
an understanding of the Chinese mind is essential to make
any progress in the border question. However, most of the
available sources are western, tailored for certain purposes.
Dr. Bhashyam argued that while information from such sources
could contain bogeys, India should be prepared for any eventuality,
in case the bogeys turned out to be true.
Compiled
by R. Venkataramanujam
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